Weekly Markets Thoughts - September 30, 2007

By: Stefan Penkov



Last week was the obvious continuation of the Fed interest rate cut. The US dollar Index is reaching new historical lows and everything else is going higher...

It is hard to say something new and find a potential unsuspected detail to talk about. The markets are happy and the investors  are following the  flow  in the chase of new and greater profits.  On the other hand,  you should be aware  that  nothing goes straight  up. It is very possible that the next couple of weeks will give us the opportunity to buy more at a lower price. After 10 days of almost continuous increase we should witness 2-3 days of profit taking which will bring the prices down by about 4-5 %. Those of you who have not yet used all their cash to buy new positions should wait for these days to do it. It could happen any moment now. Especially that we have the October options due for the 19th which is always a good reason to have some good very short term fluctuations.

Take Google as an example! If you think that you are late to buy some shares or options, you are quite mistaken. At $567 the stock will probably go to about $680-$700 by mid-November. However, instead of jumping in right now, you should wait for the probable pullback which should bring it back to the $535-$545 range. Buying during the pullback will give you an additional 4-6% percent profit.

This fall looks a very good period for making profits and almost every sector will benefit from the Fed policy. As said at the beginning, the only place you should not invest in is the US dollar but if you have been following my newsletter you already know that.

Good investing and best regards,

Stefan Penkov

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About the Author:

With more than 15 years of professional experience coupled with a strong academic background, Stefan Penkov is becoming a reference in the investing field. He kindly accepted to share his markets opinion on a weekly basis. The InvestingHelpToday team is very pleased to have his valuable contribution to the site. You can contact him by clicking here.

Disclaimer: Stefan Penkov is not a registered investment advisor.The opinions and statements made in the above publication are the result of extensive research and are believed to be accurate and from reliable sources. The contents are my current opinion only, further more conditions may cause my opinions to change without notice. The insights herein published are made solely for international and educational purposes. The contents in this publication are not to be construed as solicitation or recommendation to be used for formulation of investment decisions in any type of market whatsoever. WARNING share market investment or speculation is a high risk activity. Investors enter such activity at their own risk and must conduct their own due diligence to research and verify all aspects of any investment decision, if necessary seeking competent professional assistance.


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